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Originally Posted by Strmchsr
Blythe, timing is still completely uncertain on this, but right now it looks like rain would arrive in the afternoon of the 28th and be gone before park opening the next morning. It does not look like a washout sort of event but maybe 3-4 hours of rain total. I should be able to tighten that forecast up a bit over the next couple of days.
Thanks Chris.... keeping my and holding out for a good "tightening job"!!
Blythe
Past trips -
3x offsite,May 06 CBR,Oct 07 I'cot 10,Dec 08 CBR,Jan 09 ASMu,Oct 09 CBR/AKL,Jan 11 AsMu,Aug 11 CBR, Oct 11 AKL,Oct 12 I'cot 15,Aug 13 CBR,Aug '14 mini AKL trip
Next -
May '17 DL OR June '17 CBR
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thanks
arriving Monday 24th so been watching your forecasts
BC 2
WL CL 1
AKL 4
SOG 3
POFQ 3
POR 2
CSR 4
CBR 2
Asp 3
AS m 2
POP 7
12-13 WL CSR ASM
3-14 POR, AS s Dolphin
6-14 Us CSR
1-14 Unv
6-15 WL, SSR.
11- 15. AOA, OKw
7 16..CSR, FW, AKL, POR
7 17..ASM, CSR, WL AKL club POP
8 18 As sports, Pop
DL 9-19
DVC WL, CSR and idk 10-20
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Blyth, since that is the first day of both our trips maby we can both keep our fingers crossed for that rain Chris forecast for the 28th
to stay away or comes in during the night.
2008 Oct-POR & BC
2009 Oct- CS
2009 Dec- AKL & CRB
2010 April - Dolphin
2010 Oct- BWI
2011 April - POR
2011 Oct - AKL
2012 April - Poly
2012 Oct - AKL & YC
2013 April - WL
2013 Oct - AKL
2014 Jan - CS
2014 April - YC & POR
2014 Oct - WL & YC
2014 Dec - PORFQ
2015 April - BC
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Yay! Our arrival day is in Chris' weather report! That means we're getting close!!! Will be watching daily to see what kind of weather November brings.
Christi
2014: May--POR & US/IOA; Nov--POR (1st rD--JJ5k!)
2013: May--POR
2012: Jun--POP; Aug--POP/Hard Rock
2011: Aug/Sept--US/IOA; Nov--POFQ
2010: Dec--CSR
2009: Sept--Poly GVCL
2008: Sept--POFQ
2007: Jan/Feb--POR; Sept: POFQ
2004: Oct--CSR
1987: off-site
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Ive been also checking the usual weather sites & they show Nov 1st to be approx 60% rain. How true could this be as this is the day were attending MNSSHP. Will be in town from Oct 29th to Nov 3rd.
DVC Member as of 11/09 BLT!!
1992 Dolphin Resort
1995 stayed off-site
2002 All-Star Movies Resort
2007 (Oct) Port Orleans French Quarter
2008 (Nov )1 night at POP
2008 (Nov) Old Key West Resort
2011 (Jan) BLT 2 room suite!!!
2011 (Oct/Nov) BLT 1 bedroom suite
2012 (Oct) BLT 2 room suite :-)
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Originally Posted by Dyanna
Ive been also checking the usual weather sites & they show Nov 1st to be approx 60% rain. How true could this be as this is the day were attending MNSSHP. Will be in town from Oct 29th to Nov 3rd.
I think rain for WDW is fairly unlikely right now. Nov 1 is the boarder of voodooland, so things could change, but right now I don't see any reason to expect rain. There is a weak disturbance that should bring rain to south Florida early next week, but I think it all stays south of Orlando. The problem with the "usual" sites is that they are completely computer generated and rely only on one model. No human interaction. So, if that one model happens to show rain potential that's what you see. There are a couple of models that bring the rain farther north, but I think that looks fairly unlikely right now. Feel free to ask again in a couple of days when the forecast becomes more firm as we get closer.
Chris, aka Strmchsr
INTERCOT Staff: Vacation Planning, Guests with Special Needs, and Weather Guru
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Going to MNSSHP on Friday. How do you think the rain chances look? The only other time I have been I didn't get to see the headless horseman because of rain. Fingers crossed.
JANE
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Last trip Oct 27-31-HALLOWEEN trip, Wilderness Lodge Club level
Next trip ?
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Originally Posted by GusNJacque
Going to MNSSHP on Friday. How do you think the rain chances look? The only other time I have been I didn't get to see the headless horseman because of rain. Fingers crossed.
Right now I think there's a pretty decent chance of rain at some point on Friday afternoon and evening as the front moves through. I don't think it will rain the whole time, so hopefully it won't interfere with the parade or HalloWishes.
Chris, aka Strmchsr
INTERCOT Staff: Vacation Planning, Guests with Special Needs, and Weather Guru
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Rina!!! Oh this can't be good...we were heading to AK park that day...Keep us posted!
2008 Oct-POR & BC
2009 Oct- CS
2009 Dec- AKL & CRB
2010 April - Dolphin
2010 Oct- BWI
2011 April - POR
2011 Oct - AKL
2012 April - Poly
2012 Oct - AKL & YC
2013 April - WL
2013 Oct - AKL
2014 Jan - CS
2014 April - YC & POR
2014 Oct - WL & YC
2014 Dec - PORFQ
2015 April - BC
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Originally Posted by Mitzie
Rina!!! Oh this can't be good...we were heading to AK park that day...Keep us posted!
I'll give a full update around noon CDT when the afternoon model runs are in, but the morning models are continuing to confirm what I thought yesterday, which is that the storm will be more of a threat to south Florida, the Keys, and Cuba with minimal impact on Orlando. Hopefully that trend will continue.
Chris, aka Strmchsr
INTERCOT Staff: Vacation Planning, Guests with Special Needs, and Weather Guru
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Thanks Chris. I hope it holds.
Mitzie--it always rains on my AKP day!
JANE
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Last trip Oct 27-31-HALLOWEEN trip, Wilderness Lodge Club level
Next trip ?
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Originally Posted by GusNJacque
Thanks Chris. I hope it holds.
Mitzie--it always rains on my AKP day!
I am sorry your AKP day always rains. In the past our AKP days have been beautiful.
Chris...as an Indiana girl this hurrican thing is a little nerve racking. We once had to evacute Daytona Beach due to Hurricane Bertha..was hoping that was my last run in with such storms. Praying that this storm stays far way from Disney World.
2008 Oct-POR & BC
2009 Oct- CS
2009 Dec- AKL & CRB
2010 April - Dolphin
2010 Oct- BWI
2011 April - POR
2011 Oct - AKL
2012 April - Poly
2012 Oct - AKL & YC
2013 April - WL
2013 Oct - AKL
2014 Jan - CS
2014 April - YC & POR
2014 Oct - WL & YC
2014 Dec - PORFQ
2015 April - BC
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Originally Posted by Mitzie
Chris...as an Indiana girl this hurrican thing is a little nerve racking. We once had to evacute Daytona Beach due to Hurricane Bertha..was hoping that was my last run in with such storms. Praying that this storm stays far way from Disney World.
I just updated with the results of the afternoon models and I remain convinced the storm will stay south of Orlando with no worries for you.
Chris, aka Strmchsr
INTERCOT Staff: Vacation Planning, Guests with Special Needs, and Weather Guru
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Thanks Chris! Will check back in tomorrow for your latest word.
2008 Oct-POR & BC
2009 Oct- CS
2009 Dec- AKL & CRB
2010 April - Dolphin
2010 Oct- BWI
2011 April - POR
2011 Oct - AKL
2012 April - Poly
2012 Oct - AKL & YC
2013 April - WL
2013 Oct - AKL
2014 Jan - CS
2014 April - YC & POR
2014 Oct - WL & YC
2014 Dec - PORFQ
2015 April - BC
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JANE
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Last trip Oct 27-31-HALLOWEEN trip, Wilderness Lodge Club level
Next trip ?
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Ditto!!
Blythe
Past trips -
3x offsite,May 06 CBR,Oct 07 I'cot 10,Dec 08 CBR,Jan 09 ASMu,Oct 09 CBR/AKL,Jan 11 AsMu,Aug 11 CBR, Oct 11 AKL,Oct 12 I'cot 15,Aug 13 CBR,Aug '14 mini AKL trip
Next -
May '17 DL OR June '17 CBR
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Thanks Chris, after just having spent 3 days without power/heat I am soooo looking forward to some nice warm weather on Sunday
- Lynn -
INTERCOT Staff: Theme Parks, DVC
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