WDW Weather Forecast May 31-June 16, 2009
Each day in May, I'll update this first post with the forecast, both long and short term. As a general rule, up to 7 days is a pretty accurate forecast, beyond that it's educated guessing and largely dependent upon how well the models are doing at that moment, which is why I call it "voodooland." If you have any specific weather questions or comments, even if it's for an area other than WDW, please post and I'll answer throughout the thread. I'll also post weather tidbits every so often. Without further delay, let's get to the forecast:
Weather at WDW - Updated Sunday pm, May 31, 2009
Another beautiful, warm day with a high around 88. We're hitting the time of year that's pretty boring to be a forecaster. I could just about write - highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s, 30% chance of an afternoon thunderstorm starting tomorrow through the end of August and I'll be correct 98% of the time. That's not going to quite be the case this week, but it's getting close. Tomorrow and Tuesday highs wil be 88-90 with very isolated afternoon showers. On Wednesday the high will still be near 90 with storms being a little more widespread, but still nothing major. Thursday through Saturday it's a good bet you'll see a thunderstorm at some point during the day. Thursday looks like the best rain chance, but it's possible, and even likely, all 3 days. Now, the thing about this system is that yesterday's models showed this disturbance going south of Orlando. Previous to that it came over Orlando. Today is back to the old way of thinking, but that's not set in stone yet. We'll have to see what tomorrow brings. This won't be an all day rain, no matter what, but keep a poncho handy. Highs are hard to predict. If the storms fire early in the day the high will stay in the upper 70s. If they fire late you're looking at mid to upper 80s. Sunday will be back to a high around 90 with isolated afternoon thunderstorms.
Long range...Here's what I was talking about earlier. Right now, June 8-16 looks like typical summer weather. Highs will be around 90, give or take a couple of degrees, with nothing more than pop up afternoon thunderstorms. The GFS is trying to introduce the idea of a tropical system mid-June, but that's pure voodoo right now.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
No major delays at 1 pm CDT. For tomorrow, the severe weather focus will be across NE, KS MO, IA, IL, IN, and OH.
Tropics :fan:
The North Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins tomorrow and continues until November 30th. There are no disturbances in the Atlantic right now that threaten to become tropical cyclones and the numerical weather prediction models don’t show anything of concern over the next week.